29th July 2010

Cervantes’s Law of Statistics

Miguel de Cervantes

By a small sample, we may judge of the whole piece.

Though remembered more as a writer than as a mathematician, it is clear from this line in Don Quixote (1605 1615) that Miguel de Cervantes had a good grasp of statistical principles. Of course, the principles are subject to bending, as noted by Benjamin Disraeli: “There are three kinds of lies: lies damned lies and statistics” (as quoted by Mark Twain in his Autobiography 1924).

Cervantes’s knowledge of sampling techniques may have come from his regular employment as a purchasing agent for the Spanish navy - a job that paid so poorly that he was twice thrown into prison for debt.


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